Cienciano – Atletico Grau: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Primera División · Peru · Clausura - 14

CiencianoPrimera Division: Tabla Anual · #6

3-0Thursday, October 29

Atletico GrauPrimera Division: Tabla Anual · #14

Match events

CiencianoAtletico Grau

20'Paulo De La Cruz
38'Ademar Robles
45'⇄Gerson BarretoOff: Ademar Robles
45'⇄Matias SuccarOff: Ray Sandoval
45+6'VARNeri BandieraPenalty cancelled
53'⚽Carlos GarcésAssist: Matias Succar

Chances to win

Cienciano%73

Draw%17

Atletico Grau%10

At a glance

Over 1.5

%62Over 2.5

%49Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Cienciano win.

%73Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%62

Not both score%51

Both score%49

Under 2.5%38

Draw%17

Atletico Grau win%10

Why?

Cienciano won 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CiencianoL1-3W1-0W2-0D1-1L1-2

Atletico GrauD1-1L1-3D0-0L1-3W3-1

Last 15 meetings

8Cienciano won

4Draw

3Atletico Grau won

2.6
Goals per game8/15
Over 2.57/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Cienciano · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Atletico Grau · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Cienciano · last 9 at home7.2 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/9Over 4.5 corners8/9Over 5.5 corners7/9Over 0.5 cards

Atletico Grau · last 6 away2.7 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/6Over 4.5 corners1/6Over 5.5 corners0/6Over 0.5 cards6/6Over 1.5 cards4/6

24Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich

Bench

J. Calderón, L. Acevedo, J. Ataupillco, D. Barreto, F. Oncoy, A. Vásquez, L. Benítes, N. Delgadillo, A. Fernández

Atletico Grau – CiencianoMarch 9, 2024 · Primera División1-1

Cienciano – Atletico GrauSeptember 30, 2023 · Primera División2-0

Atletico Grau – CiencianoMay 21, 2023 · Primera División4-0

Cienciano – Atletico GrauAugust 20, 2022 · Primera División2-2

Atletico Grau – CiencianoApril 3, 2022 · Primera División1-2

Cienciano – Atletico GrauNovember 20, 2020 · Primera División1-0

Cienciano – Atletico GrauAugust 18, 2020 · Primera División3-0

Cienciano – Atletico GrauOctober 26, 2019 · Segunda División4-0

Atletico Grau – CiencianoAugust 4, 2019 · Segunda División2-1

Atletico Grau – CiencianoJuly 29, 2018 · Segunda División4-0

Cienciano – Atletico GrauApril 15, 2018 · Segunda División1-1

Luis BenitesOff: Pablo Lavandeira

57'⇄Lucas AcevedoOff: Yamir Ruidiaz Misitich

58'⇄Aldair VásquezOff: Paulo De La Cruz

67'⇄Adrián FernándezOff: Mauro Da Luz

67'⇄Nicolás DelgadilloOff: Gabriel Alfaro

73'⚽Carlos GarcésAssist: Cristian Souza

77'⚽Carlos GarcésAssist: Cristian Souza

79'⇄Claudio NuñezOff: Carlos Cabello

79'⇄Gonzalo AguirreOff: Neri Bandiera

83'⇄Didier La TorreOff: Cristian Souza

90+2'Rafael Guarderas

Statistics

64%Possession36%

1.59Expected goals0.37

20Total shots5

5Shots on target0

7Corners5

10Fouls4

2Offsides1

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

0Saves2

Cienciano scored 2.0 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Atletico Grau scored 0.9 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Cienciano · last 10 at home: 5 wins5/10

Atletico Grau · last 10 away: 6 defeats6/10

Cienciano: 10 games · Atletico Grau: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)0.9

0.7Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.82.7

9/10Over 0.5league %949/10

8/10Over 1.5league %757/10

5/10Over 2.5league %545/10

3/10Over 3.5league %344/10

1/10Over 4.5league %171/10

4/10Both scoreleague %595/10

6/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

Cienciano: 10 games · Atletico Grau: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.83.2

10/10Over 0.5league %949/10

9/10Over 1.5league %758/10

6/10Over 2.5league %547/10

2/10Over 3.5league %346/10

1/10Over 4.5league %171/10

5/10Both scoreleague %597/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.59 – 0.37 The score the chances deserved (xG): Cienciano 1.59 – 0.37 Atletico Grau.

%68 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Cienciano win 681, 237 end level and Atletico Grau win 82. The actual result comes up 681 times in 1000.

20 – 5 Shots: Cienciano 20 – 5 Atletico Grau.

5 – 0 Shots on target: Cienciano 5 – 0 Atletico Grau.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Cienciano · Primera División

Atletico Grau · Primera División

Cienciano · All games

Atletico Grau · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Cienciano's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match