Macva – FK Crvena Zvezda: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Super Liga · Serbia · Matchday 14

MacvaSuper Liga · #12

2-4Saturday, October 31

FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga · #1

Match events

MacvaFK Crvena Zvezda

16'⚽Bamba Dieng
29'⚽Bamba DiengAssist: Timi Elsnik
31'⚽Igor RistivojevićAssist: Danilo Knežević
33'Nikola Lainović
37'Đorđe Đorđić
55'⚽Milan Vidakov
60'⇄Kristijan Tojcic

Chances to win

Macva%7

Draw%13

FK Crvena Zvezda%80

At a glance

Over 1.5

%64Over 2.5

%43Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is FK Crvena Zvezda win.

%80Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%64

Not both score%57

Both score%43

Under 2.5%36

Draw%13

Macva win%7

Why?

FK Crvena Zvezda won 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Last 5 matches

MacvaL0-1D1-1D2-2L1-2L0-2

FK Crvena ZvezdaW1-0D2-2W5-1L2-3W3-0

Last 10 meetings

0Macva won

0Draw

10FK Crvena Zvezda won

3.2
Goals per game7/10
Over 2.52/10
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Macva · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

FK Crvena Zvezda · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Macva · last 6 at home4.5 corners, 3.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/6Over 4.5 corners3/6Over 5.5 corners2/6Over 0.5 cards6/6

FK Crvena Zvezda · last 8 away4.5 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners4/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards7/8Over 1.5 cards5/8

Bench

S. Radanović, M. Veljković, M. Bajo, A. Katai, M. Abu Fani, Kim Ye-geon, Tomás Händel, M. Cham, M. Arnautović, O. Bukari

Macva – FK Crvena ZvezdaMarch 7, 2020 · Super Liga0-3

FK Crvena Zvezda – MacvaSeptember 28, 2019 · Super Liga3-1

FK Crvena Zvezda – MacvaMarch 30, 2019 · Super Liga2-1

Macva – FK Crvena ZvezdaOctober 28, 2018 · Super Liga0-2

Macva – FK Crvena ZvezdaMarch 18, 2018 · Super Liga0-2

FK Crvena Zvezda – MacvaOctober 14, 2017 · Super Liga4-0

Off: Danilo Knežević

65'⇄Kim Ye-geonOff: Loizos Loizou

71'⇄V. IlićOff: Nikola Lainović

71'⇄mitar ergelasOff: stefan colovic

80'⇄Vasilije ĐurićOff: Milan Vidakov

81'⇄Slobodan SladojevićOff: Uros Drezgic

84'⚽Bamba DiengAssist: Kim Ye-geon

86'⚽Timi ElsnikAssist: Vasilije Kostov

90'⇄Tomas·HandelOff: Yuta Nakayama

90'⇄Mohammad Abu FaniOff: Timi Elsnik

90'⇄Andrej SibinovicOff: Mihailo Ristić

Statistics

37%Possession63%

1.01Expected goals2.18

9Total shots19

3Shots on target10

2Corners6

10Fouls6

0Offsides2

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

6Saves1

Macva scored 1.3 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

FK Crvena Zvezda scored 1.6 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

FK Crvena Zvezda · last 10 away: 6 wins6/10

Macva: 10 games · FK Crvena Zvezda: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.62.7

9/10Over 0.5league %929/10

6/10Over 1.5league %716/10

4/10Over 2.5league %485/10

2/10Over 3.5league %283/10

1/10Over 4.5league %123/10

4/10Both scoreleague %444/10

6/10Clean sheets5/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Macva: 10 games · FK Crvena Zvezda: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)2.3

1.5Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.63.2

9/10Over 0.5league %929/10

7/10Over 1.5league %717/10

4/10Over 2.5league %487/10

2/10Over 3.5league %284/10

1/10Over 4.5league %123/10

6/10Both scoreleague %445/10

2/10Clean sheets5/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%64 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Macva win 164, 196 end level and FK Crvena Zvezda win 640. The actual result comes up 640 times in 1000.

1.01 – 2.18 The score the chances deserved (xG): Macva 1.01 – 2.18 FK Crvena Zvezda.

9 – 19 Shots: Macva 9 – 19 FK Crvena Zvezda.

3 – 10 Shots on target: Macva 3 – 10 FK Crvena Zvezda.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 10 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Macva · Super Liga

FK Crvena Zvezda · Super Liga

Macva · All games

FK Crvena Zvezda · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Macva's ground

Last 10 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match