Baltika – Zenit: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Cup · Russia · Matchday 5

BaltikaPremier League · #9

2-3Thursday, October 29

ZenitPremier League · #1

Match events

BaltikaZenit

24'Nathan Gassama
30'⚽Daniil KondakovAssist: Roman Vega
46'⇄Loris MouyokoloOff: Sergey Varatynov
46'⇄ Marcilio Florencio Mota FilhoOff: Nuraly Alip
60'Sergey Volkov
62'⇄Mingiyan BeveevOff: Nathan Gassama

Chances to win

Baltika%23

Draw%28

Zenit%50

At a glance

Over 1.5

%43Over 2.5

%46Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%54

Zenit win%50

Both score%46

Over 2.5%43

Draw%28

Baltika win%23

Why?

Baltika: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BaltikaD1-1D0-0W2-0D0-0L2-3

ZenitW2-0W3-2W2-1W3-2W3-2

Last 10 meetings

1Baltika won

1Draw

8Zenit won

1.8
Goals per game3/10
Over 2.53/10
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Baltika · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Zenit · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Baltika · last 7 at home5.0 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/7Over 4.5 corners4/7Over 5.5 corners2/7Over 0.5 cards

Zenit · last 7 away5.6 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/7Over 4.5 corners4/7Over 5.5 corners3/7Over 0.5 cards7/7Over 1.5 cards4/7

Bench

Douglas Santos, Nino, D. Shumikhin, M. Glushenkov, Luiz Henrique, B. Levandovskiy, A. Karpukas, V. Shilov

Baltika – ZenitSeptember 14, 2025 · Premier League0-0

Baltika – ZenitJune 2, 2024 · Cup1-2

Zenit Saint Petersburg – BaltikaApril 7, 2024 · Premier League1-0

Baltika – Zenit Saint PetersburgNovember 4, 2023 · Premier League0-2

Zenit Saint Petersburg – BaltikaOctober 3, 2023 · Cup2-1

Baltika – Zenit Saint PetersburgAugust 30, 2023 · Cup1-0

Ilya PorokhovOff: Aymane Mourid

62'⇄Egor GolenkovOff: Chinonso Offor

66'⇄Luiz HenriqueOff: Sergey Volkov

66'⇄Artem KarpukasOff: Vyacheslav Karavaev

69'⚽Felipe Augusto

73'⚽Ilya KirshAssist: Fahd Moufi

78'⇄Douglas SantosOff: Jhon Jhon

82'⇄Ilya PetrovOff: Fahd Moufi

83'⚽Felipe Augusto

89'⇄Bogdan LevandovskiyOff: Daniil Kondakov

90+2'⚽Ilya Porokhov

Statistics

58%Possession42%

11Total shots6

7Shots on target4

3Corners6

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Zenit: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Baltika scored 0.8 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Zenit scored 2.1 and conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Baltika · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Baltika: 10 games · Zenit: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)2.1

1.4Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.63.0

8/10Over 0.5league %919/10

7/10Over 1.5league %787/10

5/10Over 2.5league %466/10

2/10Over 3.5league %234/10

2/10Over 4.5league %164/10

7/10Both scoreleague %494/10

2/10Clean sheets5/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Baltika: 10 games · Zenit: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)2.3

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.63.5

7/10Over 0.5league %9110/10

6/10Over 1.5league %789/10

4/10Over 2.5league %468/10

3/10Over 3.5league %234/10

2/10Over 4.5league %164/10

4/10Both scoreleague %497/10

5/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Zenit: win number 7 in a row.

%50 Our model's pre-match chance of an Zenit win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 10 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Baltika · All games

Zenit · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Baltika's ground

Last 10 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match