Tranmere – Cheltenham: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·League Two · England · Matchday 14

TranmereLeague Two · #14

3-1Saturday, October 31

CheltenhamLeague Two · #3

Match events

TranmereCheltenham

1'⚽Charlie McCannAssist: Jake Evans
23'⚽dylan jonesAssist: Jacob Slater
32'Jake Evans
39'⚽dylan jones
45'⇄Nathan SmithOff: Jordan Turnbull
45+1'Jordan Turnbull
45+3'

Chances to win

Tranmere%48

Draw%26

Cheltenham%27

At a glance

Over 1.5

%54Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%54

Tranmere win%48

Under 2.5%46

Not both score%43

Cheltenham win%27

Draw%26

Why?

Tranmere: both sides scored in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

TranmereD1-1W1-0L1-2D1-1L2-4

CheltenhamW1-0W4-2L1-4D2-2L0-2

Last 13 meetings

6Tranmere won

0Draw

7Cheltenham won

2.6
Goals per game6/13
Over 2.54/13
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Tranmere · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Cheltenham · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Tranmere · last 10 at home3.4 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Cheltenham · last 10 away4.4 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

Bench

J. Day, M. Diallo, G. Nurse, F. Willcox, K. Otchere, G. Miller, J. Bickerstaff

Cheltenham – TranmereApril 2, 2021 · League Two4-0

Tranmere – CheltenhamSeptember 19, 2020 · League Two0-3

Cheltenham – TranmereJanuary 12, 2019 · League Two1-3

Tranmere – CheltenhamAugust 11, 2018 · League Two1-0

Tranmere – CheltenhamFebruary 20, 2016 · National League0-1

Cheltenham – TranmereSeptember 26, 2015 · National League0-1

Cheltenham – TranmereFebruary 28, 2015 · League Two2-0

Tranmere – CheltenhamAugust 23, 2014 · League Two2-3

Tranmere – CheltenhamNovember 12, 2011 · FA Cup0-1

Charlie Jay WhitakerAssist: Thomas Ince

68'⇄George NurseOff: Jordan Shipley

68'⇄George MillerOff: Ryan Broom

78'Jonathan Tomkinson

80'⇄Jake BickerstaffOff: Andreas Weimann

89'⇄Lee O'ConnorOff: dylan jones

Statistics

41%Possession59%

1.14Expected goals0.58

17Total shots10

9Shots on target2

1Corners4

7Fouls8

2Offsides8

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

1Saves6

Cheltenham: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Tranmere scored 1.4 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Cheltenham scored 1.4 and conceded 2.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Tranmere · last 10 at home: both scored 7 times7/10

Cheltenham · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

Tranmere: 10 games · Cheltenham: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.1Goals conceded (avg)2.2

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.63.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

9/10Over 1.5league %769/10

4/10Over 2.5league %457/10

2/10Over 3.5league %306/10

0/10Over 4.5league %142/10

7/10Both scoreleague %566/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

Tranmere: 10 games · Cheltenham: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.7

2.1Total goals per gameleague 2.63.3

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

7/10Over 1.5league %769/10

2/10Over 2.5league %456/10

1/10Over 3.5league %305/10

1/10Over 4.5league %142/10

5/10Both scoreleague %567/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%49 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Tranmere win 494, 319 end level and Cheltenham win 187. The actual result comes up 494 times in 1000.

1.14 – 0.58 The score the chances deserved (xG): Tranmere 1.14 – 0.58 Cheltenham.

9 – 2 Shots on target: Tranmere 9 – 2 Cheltenham.

9.1

Man of the match: D. Jones (Tranmere), rated 9.1.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 13 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Tranmere · League Two

Cheltenham · League Two

Tranmere · All games

Cheltenham · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Tranmere's ground

Last 13 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match