Mansfield Town – Notts County: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·League One · England · Matchday 14

Mansfield TownLeague One · #10

0-2Saturday, October 31

Notts CountyLeague One · #19

Match events

Mansfield TownNotts County

25'⇄Callum RobertsOff: Conor·Grant
29'⚽Callum RobertsAssist: Rory Finneran
55'Rory Finneran
56'Jordan Bowery
56'⇄Rhys OatesOff: Tyler Roberts
65'⚽D. Kanu
71'

Chances to win

Mansfield Town%50

Draw%26

Notts County%25

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%55Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%55

Mansfield Town win%50

Under 2.5%48

Not both score%45

Draw%26

Notts County win%25

Why?

Mansfield Town: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Mansfield TownW4-1W3-0D1-1W2-1L0-2

Notts CountyD1-1W2-0L0-2W5-1L1-2

Last 13 meetings

8Mansfield Town won

2Draw

3Notts County won

2.7
Goals per game6/13
Over 2.56/13
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Mansfield Town · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Notts County · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Mansfield Town · last 10 at home5.7 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Notts County · last 10 away3.5 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

J. Gibbons, M. Sanders, D. Lipsiuc, J. Evans, H. Mustapha, C. Roberts, L. Ndlovu

Notts County – Mansfield TownMarch 17, 2018 · League Two1-1

Notts County – Mansfield TownOctober 24, 2017 · EFL Trophy1-2

Mansfield Town – Notts CountySeptember 30, 2017 · League Two3-1

Notts County – Mansfield TownJanuary 14, 2017 · League Two0-0

Mansfield Town – Notts CountyOctober 8, 2016 · League Two3-1

Mansfield Town – Notts CountyApril 16, 2016 · League Two5-0

Notts County – Mansfield TownSeptember 1, 2015 · EFL Trophy3-1

Notts County – Mansfield TownAugust 14, 2015 · League Two0-2

Notts County – Mansfield TownSeptember 2, 2014 · EFL Trophy2-0

73'⇄Luke BoltonOff: Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh

73'⇄George MarisOff: Louis Reed

74'⇄Darius LipsiucOff: Nicholas Tsaroulla

74'⇄Max SandersOff: Rory Finneran

74'⇄lee ndlovuOff: Luka Smyth

81'⇄James GibbonsOff: D. Kanu

86'⇄Frazer Blake-TracyOff: Ryan Sweeney

86'⇄Elliott HewittOff: Jonathan Russell

Statistics

60%Possession40%

1.61Expected goals1.06

14Total shots16

4Shots on target5

9Corners3

11Fouls18

1Offsides0

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

3Saves4

Notts County: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 10 away matches.

Mansfield Town scored 1.8 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Notts County scored 0.8 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Mansfield Town · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Mansfield Town: 10 games · Notts County: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.6Total goals per gameleague 2.82.3

8/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

8/10Over 1.5league %798/10

7/10Over 2.5league %543/10

4/10Over 3.5league %312/10

3/10Over 4.5league %150/10

7/10Both scoreleague %585/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

Mansfield Town: 10 games · Notts County: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.2Total goals per gameleague 2.82.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

8/10Over 1.5league %799/10

6/10Over 2.5league %543/10

4/10Over 3.5league %311/10

3/10Over 4.5league %151/10

5/10Both scoreleague %586/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%25 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Mansfield Town win 502, 249 end level and Notts County win 250. The actual result comes up 250 times in 1000.

1.61 – 1.06 The score the chances deserved (xG): Mansfield Town 1.61 – 1.06 Notts County.

%25 Our model's pre-match chance of an Notts County win.

9 – 3 Corners: Mansfield Town 9 – 3 Notts County.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 13 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Mansfield Town · League One

Notts County · League One

Mansfield Town · All games

Notts County · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Mansfield Town's ground

Last 13 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match