Atlético Madrid II – Alcorcon: probabilities, statistics and live score

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Atlético Madrid IISegunda B: Group 2 · #13

1-1Friday, October 30

AlcorconSegunda B: Group 2 · #6

Match events

Atlético Madrid IIAlcorcon

50'⚽M. DomenechAssist: M. Gil Rodriguez
52'J. Castillo
54'M. Berlanga
54'J. Lancho
64'⇄E. AlcanizOff: M. Cubo
67'M. Gil Rodriguez
68'

Chances to win

Atlético Madrid II%36

Draw%26

Alcorcon%38

At a glance

Over 1.5

%59Over 2.5

%61Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%61

Under 2.5%41

Not both score%39

Alcorcon win%38

Atlético Madrid II win%36

Draw%26

Why?

Atlético Madrid II: 3+ goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Atlético Madrid IID1-1L1-2D4-4L2-3L1-3

AlcorconD3-3D1-1L0-1W5-0W2-1

Last 4 meetings

3Atlético Madrid II won

1Draw

0Alcorcon won

2.3
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Atlético Madrid II · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Alcorcon · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

September 14, 2024 · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

70'⇄N. Di DomenicoOff: Davo

70'⇄G. MeleroOff: M. Berlanga

81'⇄S. DiezOff: R. Hueso

81'⇄D. MunozOff: J. Alvaro

81'⇄KokeOff: I. Kamate

83'⇄F. SabinaOff: F. Manzanara

89'⇄M. CuellarOff: M. Domenech

90+6'⚽J. LanchoAssist: E. Aparicio

Alcorcon: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Atlético Madrid II scored 3.0 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Alcorcon scored 1.2 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Atlético Madrid II · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 9 times9/10

Alcorcon · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Atlético Madrid II: 10 games · Alcorcon: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.8Goals scored (avg)1.1

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.3

4.8Total goals per gameleague 2.72.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

10/10Over 1.5league %758/10

8/10Over 2.5league %494/10

8/10Over 3.5league %282/10

3/10Over 4.5league %140/10

9/10Both scoreleague %537/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

Atlético Madrid II: 10 games · Alcorcon: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.72.8

9/10Over 0.5league %949/10

9/10Over 1.5league %758/10

6/10Over 2.5league %495/10

5/10Over 3.5league %283/10

2/10Over 4.5league %142/10

7/10Both scoreleague %536/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%26 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Referee

Atlético Madrid II · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Alcorcon · Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Atlético Madrid II · All games

Alcorcon · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Atlético Madrid II's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match