Bastia – Quevilly: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 3 · France · Matchday 11

BastiaNational · #13

2-0Saturday, October 31

QuevillyNational · #12

Match events

BastiaQuevilly

24'Y. Gazzaoui
35'S. Come Ruiz
49'⚽M. BoumaaouiAssist: D. Tamba
53'M. Boumaaoui
62'⇄C. RodriguesOff: M. Boumaaoui
62'⇄E. GarnierOff: D. Tamba
74'

Chances to win

Bastia%49

Draw%27

Quevilly%24

At a glance

Over 1.5

%45Over 2.5

%48Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%52

Bastia win%49

Both score%48

Over 2.5%45

Draw%27

Quevilly win%24

Why?

Bastia: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BastiaD1-1D1-1L0-1D1-1W1-0

QuevillyW3-2L1-3D1-1D0-0W2-1

Last 9 meetings

5Bastia won

3Draw

1Quevilly won

1.6
Goals per game3/9
Over 2.53/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Bastia · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Quevilly · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Bastia · last 5 at home3.4 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners1/5Over 4.5 corners1/5Over 5.5 corners1/5Over 0.5 cards5/5Over 1.5 cards

Bastia – QuevillyJanuary 8, 2022 · Ligue 23-0

Quevilly – BastiaAugust 18, 2021 · Ligue 21-2

Quevilly – BastiaMay 10, 2021 · Ligue 30-1

Bastia – QuevillyJanuary 11, 2021 · Ligue 32-1

Quevilly – BastiaJanuary 20, 2015 · Coupe de France0-0

L. BelalOff: J. Eickmayer

74'⇄M. PetrignaniOff: H. Makalou

81'⇄R. RosaOff: B. El Kaddouri

81'⇄W. TchimbembeOff: R. Silva

81'⇄M. RosOff: S. Come Ruiz

86'⇄C. MelieresOff: A. Zaouai

90+6'⚽E. GarnierAssist: C. Rodrigues

Quevilly: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Bastia scored 0.7 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Quevilly scored 1.1 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Bastia · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Bastia: 10 games · Quevilly: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.42.8

10/10Over 0.5league %919/10

9/10Over 1.5league %758/10

2/10Over 2.5league %415/10

1/10Over 3.5league %192/10

1/10Over 4.5league %111/10

4/10Both scoreleague %483/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score6/10

Bastia: 10 games · Quevilly: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.0Total goals per gameleague 2.42.6

10/10Over 0.5league %919/10

6/10Over 1.5league %759/10

2/10Over 2.5league %415/10

1/10Over 3.5league %192/10

1/10Over 4.5league %111/10

4/10Both scoreleague %487/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%49 Our model's pre-match chance of a Bastia win.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Bastia · Ligue 3

Quevilly · Ligue 3

Bastia · All games

Quevilly · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Bastia's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match