Rouen – Concarneau: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Ligue 3 · France · Matchday 11

RouenNational · #2

2-1Saturday, October 31

ConcarneauNational · #6

Match events

RouenConcarneau

9'C. Bassin
14'⚽M. TchokounteAssist: I. Karamoko
18'⇄A. SidibeOff: L. Rosier
31'⚽I. KaramokoPenalty
34'⚽T. Sinquin
38'F. Da Silva
45+4'

Chances to win

Rouen%48

Draw%28

Concarneau%24

At a glance

Over 1.5

%44Over 2.5

%48Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%52

Both score%48

Rouen win%48

Over 2.5%44

Draw%28

Concarneau win%24

Why?

Rouen: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

RouenL1-3W2-0L2-3W1-0W4-0

ConcarneauD1-1W2-1D1-1W2-0W2-1

Last 4 meetings

1Rouen won

3Draw

0Concarneau won

2.3
Goals per game1/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Rouen · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Concarneau · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Rouen · last 1 at home4.0 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners1/1Over 4.5 corners0/1Over 5.5 corners0/1Over 0.5 cards1/1Over 1.5 cards1/1

Model chances

65'⇄B. CamaraOff: N. Mbemba

66'⇄I. SamouraOff: J. Viana

71'⇄J. VarvatOff: M. Picouleau

71'⇄K. BenabdelouahedOff: B. Etcheverria

80'⇄O. DafOff: T. Sinquin

80'⇄G. GbelleOff: L. Goujon

83'⇄S. TraoreOff: I. Karamoko

83'⇄W. PaciusOff: M. Tchokounte

Concarneau: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Rouen scored 1.6 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Concarneau scored 1.2 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Rouen · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Concarneau · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Rouen: 10 games · Concarneau: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)0.9

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.42.1

9/10Over 0.5league %918/10

8/10Over 1.5league %758/10

4/10Over 2.5league %414/10

2/10Over 3.5league %191/10

0/10Over 4.5league %110/10

6/10Both scoreleague %487/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Rouen: 10 games · Concarneau: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.4

0.9Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.42.3

10/10Over 0.5league %919/10

9/10Over 1.5league %759/10

6/10Over 2.5league %414/10

3/10Over 3.5league %191/10

1/10Over 4.5league %110/10

5/10Both scoreleague %487/10

5/10Clean sheets3/10

0/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Concarneau: a 9-match unbeaten run ended here.

%48 Our model's pre-match chance of a Rouen win.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Model chances

Rouen · Ligue 3

Concarneau · Ligue 3

Rouen · All games

Concarneau · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Rouen's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match