The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed
Other scenarios
Both score%61
Under 2.5%41
Not both score%39
Mineros de Zacatecas win%38
Alebrijes de Oaxaca win%36
Draw%25
Why?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Alebrijes de OaxacaW2-1W2-1W2-1L0-4L1-3
Mineros de ZacatecasL0-2L1-2D2-2L2-4W3-0
Last 15 meetings
4Alebrijes de Oaxaca won
5Draw
6Mineros de Zacatecas won
3.5 Goals per game8/15 Over 2.59/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Mineros de Zacatecas · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.
Referee
A. Barba0.0 cards a match in 2 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca · Liga de Expansión MX
4W 1D 5LScored 11 · conceded 202.5 Üst 8/10KG 7/10
Mineros de Zacatecas · Liga de Expansión MX
3W 1D 6LScored 13 · conceded 182.5 Üst 6/10KG 4/10
Alebrijes de Oaxaca · All games
4W 1D 5LScored 11 · conceded 202.5 Üst 8/10KG 7/10
Mineros de Zacatecas · All games
3W 1D 6LScored 13 · conceded 182.5 Üst 6/10KG 4/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups appear here about an hour before kick-off; the chances are then recalculated.
This fixture at Alebrijes de Oaxaca's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 7
3Alebrijes de Oaxaca won
3Draw
1Mineros de Zacatecas won
Alebrijes de Oaxaca last won here on Jan 31, 2026: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas.Mineros de Zacatecas last won here on Jan 18, 2025: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas.3.0 goals a game here · over 2.5 3/7 · BTTS 5/7
Last 15 meetings
4Alebrijes de Oaxaca won
5Draw
6Mineros de Zacatecas won
3.5 Goals per game8/15 Over 2.59/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – Mineros de ZacatecasJanuary 31, 2026 · Liga de Expansión MX2-0
Mineros de Zacatecas – Alebrijes de OaxacaAugust 24, 2025 · Liga de Expansión MX2-2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – Mineros de ZacatecasJanuary 18, 2025 · Liga de Expansión MX0-1
Mineros de Zacatecas – Alebrijes de Oaxaca
August 3, 2024 · Liga de Expansión MX
3-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – Mineros de ZacatecasFebruary 29, 2024 · Liga de Expansión MX1-1
Mineros de Zacatecas – Alebrijes de OaxacaAugust 12, 2023 · Liga de Expansión MX1-1
Mineros de Zacatecas – Alebrijes de OaxacaMarch 22, 2023 · Liga de Expansión MX3-6
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – Mineros de ZacatecasAugust 12, 2022 · Liga de Expansión MX2-2
Mineros de Zacatecas – Alebrijes de OaxacaFebruary 23, 2022 · Liga de Expansión MX4-2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – Mineros de ZacatecasSeptember 15, 2021 · Liga de Expansión MX2-1
Mineros de Zacatecas – Alebrijes de OaxacaApril 21, 2021 · Liga de Expansión MX6-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – Mineros de ZacatecasMarch 10, 2021 · Liga de Expansión MX4-3
Mineros de Zacatecas – Alebrijes de OaxacaOctober 9, 2020 · Liga de Expansión MX1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – Mineros de ZacatecasOctober 26, 2019 · Liga de Expansión MX1-1
Mineros de Zacatecas – Alebrijes de OaxacaApril 21, 2019 · Liga de Expansión MX1-0
73'
O. Mazatan
76'⇄R. RiosOff: P. Padilla
76'⇄A. GarciaOff: K. Magana
82'R. Rios
86'I. Barreda
86'S. Manriquez
87'⇄D. MartinezOff: I. Barreda
88'D. Martinez
89'⇄L. JeffusOff: Andrey Marcos
90+5'L. Cervantes
Mineros de Zacatecas: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca scored 1.4 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Mineros de Zacatecas scored 1.0 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.