Lens W – FC Fleury 91 W: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Feminine Division 1 · France · Matchday 7

Lens WFeminine Division 1 Women · #11

1-1Saturday, October 31

FC Fleury 91 WFeminine Division 1 Women · #9

Match events

Lens WFC Fleury 91 W

42'Charlotte Fernandes
45'⚽Kethna LouisOwn goal
45'⇄Lucie CalbaOff: Batcheba Louis
53'⚽Lucie Calba
63'⇄Laurie CanceOff: Louna Ribadeira
63'⇄Emelyne LaurentOff: Cindy Caputo

Chances to win

Lens W%22

Draw%25

FC Fleury 91 W%53

At a glance

Over 1.5

%54Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%54

FC Fleury 91 W win%53

Under 2.5%46

Not both score%46

Draw%25

Lens W win%22

Why?

Lens W: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Lens WD0-0L1-3L1-4D2-2L1-2

FC Fleury 91 WD2-2L1-3W2-0D1-1L1-7

Last 2 meetings

0Lens W won

0Draw

2FC Fleury 91 W won

3.0
Goals per game1/2
Over 2.50/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Lens W · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

FC Fleury 91 W · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Lens W · last 3 at home2.3 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners0/3Over 4.5 corners0/3Over 5.5 corners0/3Over 0.5 cards3/3Over 1.5 cards3/3

FC Fleury 91 W · last 3 away7.3 corners, 1.0 cards a game

Bench

C. N'Gazi, L. Cance, C. Hoarau, S. Grondin, T. Marques, S. Mssoudy, L. Calba

Julia EvrardOff: Jennyfer Limage

72'⇄Sofia DjoubriOff: N. Gelders

75'⇄Sarah SundahlOff: Erin Cesarini

85'⇄Sanaa MssoudyOff: Shana Chossenotte

90+4'⇄Lylloo MakowskiOff: fanny rossi

Statistics

37%Possession63%

0.21Expected goals4.33

4Total shots29

2Shots on target10

2Corners10

11Fouls9

0Offsides2

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

9Saves2

FC Fleury 91 W: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Lens W scored 0.8 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

FC Fleury 91 W scored 1.3 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Lens W: 9 games · FC Fleury 91 W: 9 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.7Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.2Total goals per gameleague 3.32.3

9/9Over 0.5league %949/9

6/9Over 1.5league %809/9

3/9Over 2.5league %512/9

2/9Over 3.5league %461/9

0/9Over 4.5league %290/9

4/9Both scoreleague %496/9

0/9Clean sheets2/9

5/9Failed to score1/9

Lens W: 10 games · FC Fleury 91 W: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.3

2.1Goals conceded (avg)2.0

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.33.3

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

7/10Over 1.5league %8010/10

5/10Over 2.5league %515/10

4/10Over 3.5league %464/10

2/10Over 4.5league %291/10

6/10Both scoreleague %498/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

0.21 – 4.33 The score the chances deserved (xG): Lens W 0.21 – 4.33 FC Fleury 91 W.

%2 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Lens W win 4, 23 end level and FC Fleury 91 W win 973. The actual result comes up 23 times in 1000.

%25 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

4 – 29 Shots: Lens W 4 – 29 FC Fleury 91 W.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Lens W · Feminine Division 1

FC Fleury 91 W · Feminine Division 1

Lens W · All games

FC Fleury 91 W · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match