Freiburg II – SSV Ulm 1846: probabilities, statistics and live score

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Freiburg IIRegionalliga: Sudwest · #8

1-1Saturday, October 31

SSV Ulm 1846Regionalliga: Sudwest · #17

Match events

Freiburg IISSV Ulm 1846

18'⚽O. Wahling
42'⚽Goal

Chances to win

Freiburg II%45

Draw%22

SSV Ulm 1846%33

At a glance

Over 1.5

%70Over 2.5

%70Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%70Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%70

Freiburg II win%45

SSV Ulm 1846 win%33

Not both score%30

Under 2.5%30

Draw%22

Why?

Freiburg II: 3+ goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Freiburg IIW2-1D2-2L1-2L1-2W2-0

SSV Ulm 1846D1-1D1-1W1-0D2-2L0-1

Last 5 meetings

2Freiburg II won

0Draw

3SSV Ulm 1846 won

3.0
Goals per game4/5
Over 2.53/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Freiburg II · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

SSV Ulm 1846 · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

SSV ULM 1846 – Freiburg IIOctober 26, 2019 · Regionalliga - SudWest1-3

SSV Ulm 1846: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Freiburg II scored 2.4 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

SSV Ulm 1846 scored 1.2 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Freiburg II · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 9 times9/10

SSV Ulm 1846 · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Freiburg II: 10 games · SSV Ulm 1846: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.3Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.4Goals conceded (avg)2.1

3.7Total goals per gameleague 3.03.3

9/10Over 0.5league %939/10

9/10Over 1.5league %839/10

8/10Over 2.5league %635/10

5/10Over 3.5league %375/10

3/10Over 4.5league %173/10

8/10Both scoreleague %638/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Freiburg II: 10 games · SSV Ulm 1846: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.2Total goals per gameleague 3.02.9

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

9/10Over 1.5league %838/10

7/10Over 2.5league %634/10

3/10Over 3.5league %373/10

2/10Over 4.5league %171/10

8/10Both scoreleague %637/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%22 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Freiburg II · Regionalliga - SudWest

SSV Ulm 1846 · Regionalliga - SudWest

Freiburg II · All games

SSV Ulm 1846 · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Freiburg II's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match