The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Libertad Asuncion win.
%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed
Other scenarios
Over 2.5%54
Both score%50
Not both score%50
Under 2.5%46
Draw%22
Club Sp. San Lorenzo win%15
Why?
Libertad Asuncion won 4 of their last 10 away matches.
Last 5 matches
Club Sp. San LorenzoL1-3L2-3D2-2D1-1D1-1
Libertad AsuncionW3-1W1-0L0-1D2-2W2-1
Last 12 meetings
0Club Sp. San Lorenzo won
1Draw
11Libertad Asuncion won
3.6 Goals per game10/12 Over 2.56/12 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.
Libertad Asuncion · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo · last 6 at home6.0 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/6Over 4.5 corners6/6Over 5.5 corners3/6Over 0.5 cards6/6Over 1.5 cards
Referee
Carlos P. Benitez4.7 cards a match in 6 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo · Division Profesional - Clausura
4W 3D 3LScored 13 · conceded 122.5 Üst 4/10KG 5/10
Club Sp. San Lorenzo · All games
1W 4D 5LScored 10 · conceded 172.5 Üst 6/10KG 7/10
Libertad Asuncion · All games
5W 3D 2LScored 16 · conceded 102.5 Üst 4/10KG 6/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Club Sp. San Lorenzo · 4-4-2
31L. Franco
2L. Esteche
5T. Paredes
13Isaias Fretes
21H. Gonzalez
22K. Ferreira
28P. Gerzel
32F. Aragón
9J. Barrios
23M. Ferreira
Bench
Matias Aguero, H. Villamayor, J. Salcedo, B. Piñatares, Á. Benítez, Elias Ortiz, S. Salcedo, R. Amarilla
Libertad Asuncion · 4-4-2
12R. Morínigo
2A. Benítez
4
This fixture at Club Sp. San Lorenzo's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 7
0Club Sp. San Lorenzo won
1Draw
6Libertad Asuncion won
Club Sp. San Lorenzo won none of the last 7 here.Libertad Asuncion last won here on Mar 3, 2026: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-7 Libertad Asuncion.4.0 goals a game here · over 2.5 6/7 · BTTS 5/7
Last 12 meetings
0Club Sp. San Lorenzo won
1Draw
11Libertad Asuncion won
3.6 Goals per game10/12 Over 2.56/12 Both score
Previous meetings
Libertad Asuncion – Club Sp. San LorenzoAugust 25, 2026 · Division Profesional - Clausura1-0
Libertad Asuncion – Club Sp. San LorenzoMay 2, 2026 · Division Profesional - Apertura5-0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo – Libertad AsuncionMarch 3, 2026 · Division Profesional - Apertura0-7
Club Sp. San Lorenzo · last 10 at home: 6 defeats6/10
Club Sp. San Lorenzo: 10 games · Libertad Asuncion: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
0.7Goals scored (avg)1.0
1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.2
2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.52.2
9/10Over 0.5league %959/10
8/10Over 1.5league %718/10
6/10Over 2.5league %485/10
1/10Over 3.5league %200/10
0/10Over 4.5league %100/10
5/10Both scoreleague %526/10
1/10Clean sheets2/10
5/10Failed to score3/10
Club Sp. San Lorenzo: 10 games · Libertad Asuncion: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.1Goals scored (avg)1.3
1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.0
2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.52.3
9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10
8/10Over 1.5league %717/10
6/10Over 2.5league %484/10
3/10Over 3.5league %202/10
1/10Over 4.5league %100/10
7/10Both scoreleague %526/10
1/10Clean sheets2/10
3/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
6 Club Sp. San Lorenzo: a 6-match wait for a win is over.
%15 Our model's pre-match chance of a Club Sp. San Lorenzo win.
90+5' Santiago Salcedo decided it in minute 90.
%56 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Club Sp. San Lorenzo win 562, 234 end level and Libertad Asuncion win 204. The actual result comes up 562 times in 1000.