The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%65Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%66
Eintracht Frankfurt win%46
Under 2.5%35
Not both score%34
Hamburger SV win%29
Draw%25
Why?
Hamburger SV: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Hamburger SVL0-1W1-0W3-2W2-1L0-5
Eintracht FrankfurtL0-1W1-0L0-6D2-2W3-1
Last 15 meetings
2Hamburger SV won
6Draw
7Eintracht Frankfurt won
2.3 Goals per game8/15 Over 2.58/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Hamburger SV · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Eintracht Frankfurt · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Hamburger SV · last 10 at home4.0 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
Tobias Stieler3.7 cards a match in 35 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Hamburger SV · All games
5W 1D 4LScored 13 · conceded 192.5 Üst 6/10KG 4/10
Eintracht Frankfurt · All games
3W 3D 4LScored 25 · conceded 222.5 Üst 8/10KG 6/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Hamburger SV · 3-4-2-1
12S. Tangvik
17W. Omari
33S. Bornauw
43S. Nandja
3D. Møller Wolfe
5M. Adeline
6A. Sambi Lokonga
7Z. El Ouahdi
11A. Grønbæk
28M. Muheim
9T. Moffi
Bench
Daniel Heuer Fernandes, L. Lemke, J. Bissi Mouelle, I. Pherai, B. Jatta, Kofi Jeremy Amoako, Otto Emerson Stange, P. Daka, Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
Eintracht Frankfurt · 4-4-2
1N. Atubolu
This fixture at Hamburger SV's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 8
1Hamburger SV won
3Draw
4Eintracht Frankfurt won
Hamburger SV last won here on Jan 21, 2011: Hamburger SV 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt.Eintracht Frankfurt last won here on Dec 12, 2017: Hamburger SV 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt.2.0 goals a game here · over 2.5 3/8 · BTTS 4/8
Hamburger SV · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10
Eintracht Frankfurt · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10
Hamburger SV: 10 games · Eintracht Frankfurt: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.1Goals scored (avg)2.6
1.8Goals conceded (avg)1.9
2.9Total goals per gameleague 4.14.5
10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10
8/10Over 1.5league %969/10
6/10Over 2.5league %718/10
3/10Over 3.5league %566/10
2/10Over 4.5league %384/10
7/10Both scoreleague %507/10
1/10Clean sheets1/10
2/10Failed to score2/10
Hamburger SV: 10 games · Eintracht Frankfurt: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.1Goals scored (avg)2.6
2.0Goals conceded (avg)2.0
3.1Total goals per gameleague 4.14.6
10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10
8/10Over 1.5league %968/10
6/10Over 2.5league %718/10
4/10Over 3.5league %568/10
3/10Over 4.5league %384/10
4/10Both scoreleague %506/10
2/10Clean sheets2/10
4/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
3.04 – 1.74 The score the chances deserved (xG): Hamburger SV 3.04 – 1.74 Eintracht Frankfurt.
%20 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Hamburger SV win 640, 160 end level and Eintracht Frankfurt win 200. The actual result comes up 200 times in 1000.
8.9 Man of the match: J. Burkardt (Eintracht Frankfurt), rated 8.9.
%46 Our model's pre-match chance of an Eintracht Frankfurt win.
Hamburger SVBundesliga · #11
Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga · #14