The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed
Other scenarios
Both score%65
Liverpool win%42
Under 2.5%37
Not both score%35
Chelsea win%33
Draw%25
Why?
Liverpool: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
LiverpoolW2-0W4-3W2-1W6-3L0-3
ChelseaL0-2W2-0W5-1L0-3D2-2
Last 15 meetings
4Liverpool won
8Draw
3Chelsea won
1.9 Goals per game5/15 Over 2.58/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Liverpool · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Chelsea · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Liverpool · last 10 at home6.0 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners3/10
Referee
D. England4.4 cards a match in 52 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Liverpool · All games
8W 1D 1LScored 22 · conceded 122.5 Üst 6/10KG 5/10
Chelsea · All games
6W 1D 3LScored 25 · conceded 182.5 Üst 7/10KG 6/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Liverpool · 4-2-3-1
25G. Mamardashvili
2J. Gomez
4V. van Dijk
21K. Tsimikas
33R. Araújo
18C. Gakpo
38R. Gravenberch
42T. Nyoni
53J. McConnell
73R. Ngumoha
67L. Koumas
Bench
Alisson Becker, J. Jacquet, L. Chambers, W. Endo, F. Wirtz, A. Mac Allister, A. Isak, F. Chiesa, B. Barcola
Chelsea · 4-3-3
39M. Penders
3W. Fofana
This fixture at Liverpool's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 6
2Liverpool won
3Draw
1Chelsea won
Liverpool last won here on Oct 20, 2024: Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea.Chelsea last won here on Mar 4, 2021: Liverpool 0-1 Chelsea.2.2 goals a game here · over 2.5 2/6 · BTTS 4/6
Last 15 meetings
4Liverpool won
8Draw
3Chelsea won
1.9 Goals per game5/15 Over 2.58/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Liverpool – ChelseaMay 9, 2026 · Premier League1-1
Chelsea – LiverpoolOctober 4, 2025 · Premier League2-1
Chelsea – LiverpoolMay 4, 2025 · Premier League3-1
Liverpool – ChelseaOctober 20, 2024 · Premier League2-1
Over 0.5 cards7/10
Over 1.5 cards5/10
Chelsea · last 10 away5.1 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards7/10
LiverpoolPremier League · #4
ChelseaPremier League · #5