Alianza Universidad – U. San Martin: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda División · Peru · Promotion Group - 6

Alianza UniversidadSegunda División · #5

0-1Saturday, October 31

U. San MartinSegunda División · #5

Match events

Alianza UniversidadU. San Martin

38'⇄P. PeralOff: R. Palomino
44'P. Peral
46'⇄V. LabrinOff: J. Cuero
55'⇄M. AffonsoOff: A. Arteaga
55'⇄C. VegaOff: E. Oliva
57'⇄S. RengifoOff: E. O. Vasquez Ortega

Chances to win

Alianza Universidad%54

Draw%23

U. San Martin%23

At a glance

Over 1.5

%58Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%58

Alianza Universidad win%54

Under 2.5%42

Not both score%42

Draw%23

U. San Martin win%23

Why?

Alianza Universidad: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Alianza UniversidadL0-1D1-1L1-3L1-2D2-2

U. San MartinL1-2W2-1W2-0W2-1L0-7

Last 10 meetings

4Alianza Universidad won

4Draw

2U. San Martin won

2.8
Goals per game5/10
Over 2.58/10
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Alianza Universidad · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

U. San Martin · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

July 18, 2023 · Segunda División

U. San Martin – Alianza UniversidadApril 23, 2023 · Segunda División0-2

Alianza Universidad – U. San MartinAugust 23, 2021 · Primera División1-1

Alianza Universidad – U. San MartinOctober 26, 2020 · Primera División0-1

U. San Martin – Alianza UniversidadFebruary 16, 2020 · Primera División1-2

Alianza Universidad – U. San MartinSeptember 22, 2019 · Primera División1-1

U. San Martin – Alianza UniversidadApril 6, 2019 · Primera División1-1

J. ArroeOff: D. Ismodes

63'⇄F. VeraOff: S. Sanchez

69'⇄S. CaveroOff: T. Angulo

69'⇄A. CasqueteOff: H. Zeta

70'⇄K. SanchezOff: R. Cuba

U. San Martin: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Alianza Universidad scored 1.6 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

U. San Martin scored 1.5 and conceded 2.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

U. San Martin · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Alianza Universidad: 10 games · U. San Martin: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.2Goals conceded (avg)2.1

2.6Total goals per gameleague 2.43.6

10/10Over 0.5league %8810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %677/10

4/10Over 2.5league %437/10

3/10Over 3.5league %255/10

1/10Over 4.5league %113/10

8/10Both scoreleague %434/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Alianza Universidad: 10 games · U. San Martin: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.7Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.1Total goals per gameleague 2.43.0

9/10Over 0.5league %8810/10

6/10Over 1.5league %678/10

4/10Over 2.5league %436/10

2/10Over 3.5league %253/10

0/10Over 4.5league %111/10

5/10Both scoreleague %435/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%23 Our model's pre-match chance of an U. San Martin win.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 10 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Alianza Universidad · Segunda División

U. San Martin · Segunda División

Alianza Universidad · All games

U. San Martin · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Alianza Universidad's ground

Last 10 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match