Vardar Skopje – Tikveš: probabilities, statistics and live score

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Vardar SkopjeFirst League · #3

1-3Wednesday, October 28

TikvešFirst League · #4

Match events

Vardar SkopjeTikveš

49'⚽Goal
57'⚽Goal
62'⚽Goal
75'⚽Goal

Chances to win

Vardar Skopje%56

Draw%24

Tikveš%20

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%56Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%56

Vardar Skopje win%56

Not both score%44

Under 2.5%44

Draw%24

Tikveš win%20

Why?

Vardar Skopje: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Vardar SkopjeD0-0W1-0W2-1W2-0D3-3

TikvešW3-1D1-1W3-0W13-0D0-0

Last 11 meetings

6Vardar Skopje won

4Draw

1Tikveš won

2.9
Goals per game5/11
Over 2.56/11
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Vardar Skopje · last 10 at home6/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Tikveš · last 10 away5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Vardar Skopje – TikvešApril 13, 2025 · First League2-2

Vardar Skopje – TikvešDecember 3, 2024 · First League1-1

Vardar Skopje – TikvešOctober 23, 2024 · Cup2-0

Tikveš – Vardar SkopjeSeptember 22, 2024 · First League0-1

Vardar Skopje – TikvešMay 18, 2024 · First League2-2

Vardar Skopje – TikvešDecember 10, 2023 · First League2-0

Tikveš – Vardar SkopjeSeptember 17, 2023 · First League1-0

Tikveš: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Vardar Skopje scored 2.4 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Tikveš scored 3.2 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Vardar Skopje · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Tikveš · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Vardar Skopje: 10 games · Tikveš: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)3.3

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.0Total goals per gameleague 5.54.6

10/10Over 0.5league %1009/10

10/10Over 1.5league %829/10

5/10Over 2.5league %737/10

3/10Over 3.5league %687/10

2/10Over 4.5league %504/10

4/10Both scoreleague %366/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Vardar Skopje: 10 games · Tikveš: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)3.0

0.9Goals conceded (avg)0.8

3.0Total goals per gameleague 5.53.8

9/10Over 0.5league %1009/10

8/10Over 1.5league %829/10

5/10Over 2.5league %736/10

4/10Over 3.5league %685/10

3/10Over 4.5league %501/10

5/10Both scoreleague %367/10

5/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Vardar Skopje: a 9-match unbeaten run ended here.

%20 Our model's pre-match chance of an Tikveš win.

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Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 11 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Vardar Skopje · All games

Tikveš · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Vardar Skopje's ground

Last 11 meetings

Previous meetings

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match