União de Leiria – AVS: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda Liga · Portugal · Matchday 9

União de LeiriaDivision2 · #10

2-1Saturday, October 31

AVSDivision2 · #7

Match events

União de LeiriaAVS

12'
26'⚽Hiago Souza Lima Santos
47'
52'
71'
73'⚽Pablo Fernandez
74'

Chances to win

União de Leiria%54

Draw%24

AVS%22

At a glance

Over 1.5

%58Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%58

União de Leiria win%54

Not both score%42

Under 2.5%42

Draw%24

AVS win%22

Why?

União de Leiria: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

União de LeiriaD1-1W2-1L0-2W2-0D2-2

AVSW2-1W1-0W2-1W2-0D0-0

Last 2 meetings

0União de Leiria won

0Draw

2AVS won

3.0
Goals per game2/2
Over 2.52/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

União de Leiria · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

AVS · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

União de Leiria · last 3 at home7.0 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/3Over 4.5 corners2/3Over 5.5 corners2/3Over 0.5 cards3/3Over 1.5 cards2/3

AVS · last 7 away4.4 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners

86'⚽Rodrigo PinhoOwn goal

Statistics

61%Possession39%

17Total shots8

10Shots on target5

6Corners2

2Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

AVS: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

União de Leiria scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

AVS scored 1.2 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

União de Leiria · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

AVS · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

União de Leiria: 10 games · AVS: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.42.7

9/10Over 0.5league %939/10

8/10Over 1.5league %719/10

6/10Over 2.5league %477/10

2/10Over 3.5league %212/10

1/10Over 4.5league %60/10

5/10Both scoreleague %447/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

União de Leiria: 10 games · AVS: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.1Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.8Total goals per gameleague 2.42.3

10/10Over 0.5league %939/10

9/10Over 1.5league %718/10

5/10Over 2.5league %475/10

2/10Over 3.5league %211/10

1/10Over 4.5league %60/10

6/10Both scoreleague %446/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

AVS: a 5-match unbeaten run ended here.

17 – 8 Shots: União de Leiria 17 – 8 AVS.

10 – 5 Shots on target: União de Leiria 10 – 5 AVS.

%54 Our model's pre-match chance of a União de Leiria win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

União de Leiria · Segunda Liga

AVS · Segunda Liga

União de Leiria · All games

AVS · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match